After the occupation of wadi Barada Assad is doing what he did in Aleppo, forced displacement, residents are forced to evacuate to Idlib province. This will make it very easy for Assad to get rid of his opposition, he is detaining all opposition in Idlib. If he starts carpet bombing the area he will kill hundreds of rebels with each bomb. He is making the rebels into sitting ducks and the world let it happen.
Lately, the Russians have understood what is needed to protect innocent civilians and is very strict about upholding the ceasefire in Syria. one of the rogue armies operating in Syria is the IRGC, they will not give up the chance to make a puppet out of Assad, they need Syria on their side to maintain the land corridor to be able to ship weapons to the Hezbollah in Lebanon. Iran has no use for a Syria in peace, they need the war to be ongoing to turn eyes away from the atrocities they are committing to their own people. the Iranian regime has up until now shown no respect for the ceasefire and has continuously attacked the civilians in the valley.
Prior to the crises IRGC had 2-3000 officers present in Syria to uphold supply routes to Hezbollah, but at present, there are ca. 70 000 Iranian soldiers on Syrian soil. The main reason Iran is fighting in Syria is that if there is a peace agreement signed the war of IRGC will have to be fought in the cities of Iran. The soldiers of IRGC has been behind some of the worst war crimes committed in Syria like genocide in Aleppo and now the slaughter of civilians in wadi Barada. There will be no peace in Syria unless IRGC is evicted from Syria.
To make sure that the world would not know what he was doing to the civilians in wadi Barada Assad cut the internet and electricity to the valley. The Syrian army claims they liberated the valley, newsflash idiot army if they wanted to be liberated, why do they need to be forced out of the valley now? The worst part is that the world press believes Assad’s version of the story. They do not wonder for one second about the reason why the revolution started in the first place. To understand that we must go back to 2011 when 13-year-old Hamza was tortured to death by Assad’s prison guards. People started to protest in the streets with roses in their hands, Assad responded with bullets. More people was arrested and tortured to death. This eventually forced people to defend themselves against Assad’s thugs. And the civil war was a fact. Since that Assad’s propaganda machine has worked day and night to justify the bombing of hospitals, schools, and kindergartens. He has also succeeded in another lie that all who are against him is terrorists. Unfortunately, most of the world believe the lies of Assad and his allies.
It remains to be seen what Assad is doing to fix the water supply to Damascus or if he leaves it polluted until all of Damascus is cleared of rebels?
And how will he deal with the remaining population in Wadi Barada? Will he do as he has done in Aleppo? There is still people unaccounted for after the “liberation” of Aleppo. I suspect that Assad will concentrate on killing the remaining rebels in Idlib to make sure that the revolution is stopped.
In Astana Russia, turkey and USA safe-sones have been set, but there is one problem, not Assad nor the rebels has signed any agreement and for the agreement to be effective those two sides need to sign. IRGC and the Syrian army will continue the fight because both armies know that if they stop the war the days of both regimes are numbered.